Match Details
Fixture: (2) Alexander Bublik vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Date: July 20, 2025
Tournament: Swiss Open Gstaad
Round: Final
Venue: Roy Emerson Arena, Gstaad, Switzerland
Category: ATP 250
Surface: Outdoor clay
Live telecast: Tennis Channel, Fubo, Tennis TV, Sky UK, NOW
Alexander Bublik vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Preview
Alexander Bublik enters the Gstaad final following straight-set wins over Alexander Shevchenko, Francisco Comesaña, and Arthur Cazaux. The Kazakh is yet to drop a set in this tournament so far.
He is currently ranked ATP No. 34 and has a 30-17 win-loss record in 2025. Notably, this is the first ATP clay-court final of his career.
From grass to clay, Alexander Bublik is another level! 📈
The Kazakistani defeated Arthur Cazaux 6-1, 7-5 to reach the Gstaad Championship. pic.twitter.com/g2OFwxP9Re
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) July 19, 2025
Juan Manuel Cerundolo, on the other hand, has recorded four wins to reach his second career ATP final. His path to the final included victories over Jan-Lennard Struff, David Goffin, top seed Casper Ruud, and Ignacio Buse.
Cerundolo has a 37–16 record on clay this season, with 24 of those wins coming at the Challenger level. This is his first ATP final since winning the Córdoba Open in 2021.
Bublik has played more top-50 matches this year (17–12 vs top 50), while Cerundolo is 2–4 in such matches.
Alexander Bublik vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Head-to-Head
The upcoming match in Gstaad will mark the first-ever head-to-head meeting between Alexander Bublik and Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
Alexander Bublik vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Prediction
Bublik has an 18–6 clay record at the ATP and Grand Slam levels in 2025. He has averaged 8.7 aces per clay match, winning 75% of first-serve points and holding serve in 83% of service games.
His game is majorly based on first-strike tennis, frequent use of drop shots, and high first-serve efficiency. He has not dropped a set in the ongoing event, and in the semifinal vs Cazaux, he managed to win 87% of first-serve points and hit 12 aces.
Meanwhile, Cerundolo averages 4.4 aces per clay match, wins 64% of first-serve points, and 49% of second-serve points. His game showcases the use of baseline depth and left-handed topspin to build points, but offers fewer free points on serve. The Argentine has dropped three sets in four matches and won just 66% of first-serve points in his semifinal win over Ignacio Buse.
The altitude in Gstaad (1,050m)slightly favors Bublik’s serve-based game, but Cerundolo’s heavy left-handed topspin has been effective in longer rallies. The winner of this match will claim 250 ATP points and just over $1,02,330 in prize money.
Prediction: Bublik to win in straight sets